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PoGoBud
Raid Hour · YveltalNext · 20h 2m

Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Invite 6 to be safe — 5 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Wishiwashi (School)'s top six counters needs 4.34 trainers (round up: 5), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 5.13 (round up: 6). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 19:58. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party.
Wishiwashi (School) · Elite
water
Weak to
grasselectric
Boss CP
61,213
Boss HP
20,000
Raid timer
300s
Party used
6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Wishiwashi (School) at each attacker level
Attacker levelSix of the best counterA prepared partyA mixed local groupPrepared solo timeFaints per timer
Level 207(6.37)7(6.50)8(7.60)29:566.0
Level 256(5.25)6(5.50)7(6.54)25:196.0
Level 305(4.57)5(4.89)6(5.74)22:296.0
Level 355(4.44)5(4.65)6(5.43)21:256.0
Level 405(4.22)5(4.34)6(5.13)19:586.0
Level 455(4.07)5(4.20)5(4.93)19:196.0
Level 504(3.84)5(4.04)5(4.78)18:366.0

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

5 trainers at level 40

  • Kartana4.22

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

5 trainers at level 40

  • Kartana4.22
  • Zekrom4.23
  • Zeraora4.26
  • Xurkitree4.38
  • Shaymin (Sky)4.41
  • Eternatus4.54

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

6 trainers at level 40

  • Meowscarada4.85
  • Electivire4.95
  • Roserade5.04
  • Necrozma (Dawn Wings)5.09
  • Zapdos5.07
  • Decidueye5.11

The party these numbers assume

1. Kartana
Razor Leaf + Leaf Blade
2. Zekrom
Charge Beam + Fusion Bolt
3. Zeraora
Spark + Plasma Fists
4. Xurkitree
Thunder Shock + Discharge
5. Shaymin (Sky)
Magical Leaf + Grass Knot
6. Eternatus
Poison Jab + Dynamax Cannon

See the full ranked counter list for Wishiwashi (School) · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.