Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 3 to be safe — 3 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Totodile's top six counters needs 2.06 trainers (round up: 3), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 2.53 (round up: 3). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 9:44. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 45.

Totodile · Shadow Tier 5

water

Weak to

grasselectric

Boss CP: 18,002
Boss HP: 15,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Totodile at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	3(2.88)	3(2.91)	4(3.52)	13:45	6.0
Level 25	3(2.41)	3(2.53)	4(3.12)	11:58	5.9
Level 30	3(2.10)	3(2.25)	3(2.78)	10:38	5.8
Level 35	2(1.98)	3(2.14)	3(2.64)	10:06	5.7
Level 40	2(1.90)	3(2.06)	3(2.53)	9:44	5.6
Level 45	2(1.80)	2(1.98)	3(2.45)	9:22	5.5
Level 50	2(1.76)	2(1.91)	3(2.38)	9:02	5.5

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

Regieleki1.90

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

3 trainers at level 40

Regieleki1.90
Thundurus (Therian)2.04
Kartana2.06
Zeraora2.08
Xurkitree2.12
Zekrom2.16

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

3 trainers at level 40

Electivire2.42
Raikou2.43
Roserade2.43
Necrozma (Dawn Wings)2.49
Sceptile2.54
Magnezone2.55

The party these numbers assume

1. Regieleki

Lock-On + Thunder Cage

2. Thundurus (Therian)

Volt Switch + Wildbolt Storm

3. Kartana

Razor Leaf + Leaf Blade

4. Zeraora

Volt Switch + Plasma Fists

5. Xurkitree

Thunder Shock + Discharge

6. Zekrom

Charge Beam + Fusion Bolt

See the full ranked counter list for Totodile · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.