Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 3 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 48,457
- Boss HP
- 15,000
- Raid timer
- 300s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 3(2.54) | 3(2.85) | 4(3.52) | 13:06 | 6.0 |
| Level 25 | 3(2.24) | 3(2.33) | 3(2.93) | 10:44 | 6.0 |
| Level 30 | 2(1.82) | 2(1.96) | 3(2.56) | 9:00 | 5.9 |
| Level 35 | 2(1.66) | 2(1.81) | 3(2.40) | 8:20 | 5.9 |
| Level 40 | 2(1.55) | 2(1.74) | 3(2.29) | 8:00 | 5.9 |
| Level 45 | 2(1.54) | 2(1.68) | 3(2.21) | 7:45 | 5.9 |
| Level 50 | 2(1.49) | 2(1.62) | 3(2.13) | 7:28 | 5.9 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
2 trainers at level 40
- Necrozma (Dusk Mane)1.55
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
2 trainers at level 40
- Necrozma (Dusk Mane)1.55
- Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)1.56
- Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.63
- Keldeo1.75
- Mewtwo1.92
- Terrakion2.02
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
3 trainers at level 40
- Zarude2.23
- Latios2.26
- Kartana2.26
- Inteleon2.26
- Lunala2.28
- Kyogre2.27
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Terrakion · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.