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PoGoBud
Raid Hour · YveltalNext · 16h 59m

Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Invite 4 to be safe — 3 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Terapagos's top six counters needs 2.80 trainers (round up: 3), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 3.45 (round up: 4). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 12:53. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party.
Terapagos · Elite
normal
Weak to
fighting
Boss CP
26,752
Boss HP
20,000
Raid timer
300s
Party used
6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Terapagos at each attacker level
Attacker levelSix of the best counterA prepared partyA mixed local groupPrepared solo timeFaints per timer
Level 204(3.33)4(3.87)5(4.68)17:485.9
Level 254(3.01)4(3.49)5(4.18)16:045.7
Level 303(2.66)4(3.12)4(3.79)14:225.3
Level 353(2.56)3(2.96)4(3.58)13:385.1
Level 403(2.48)3(2.80)4(3.45)12:534.7
Level 453(2.31)3(2.70)4(3.33)12:264.6
Level 503(2.26)3(2.61)4(3.26)12:014.5

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

3 trainers at level 40

  • Keldeo2.48

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

3 trainers at level 40

  • Keldeo2.48
  • Lucario2.66
  • Terrakion2.86
  • Blaziken2.88
  • Kartana2.90
  • Pheromosa3.02

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

4 trainers at level 40

  • Marshadow3.33
  • Gallade3.34
  • Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)3.37
  • Hisuian Decidueye3.39
  • Breloom3.38
  • Kyurem (Black)3.41

The party these numbers assume

1. Keldeo
Low Kick + Secret Sword
2. Lucario
Force Palm + Aura Sphere
3. Terrakion
Double Kick + Sacred Sword
4. Blaziken
Counter + Aura Sphere
5. Kartana
Fury Cutter + Sacred Sword
6. Pheromosa
Low Kick + Focus Blast

See the full ranked counter list for Terapagos · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.