Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 4 to be safe — 3 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Staraptor's top six counters needs 2.56 trainers (round up: 3), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 3.20 (round up: 4). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 11:48. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party.

Staraptor · Elite

normalflying

Weak to

rockelectricice

Boss CP: 43,840
Boss HP: 20,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Staraptor at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	4(3.90)	5(4.58)	6(5.18)	21:04	6.0
Level 25	3(2.98)	4(3.49)	5(4.30)	16:03	6.0
Level 30	3(2.50)	3(2.90)	4(3.60)	13:21	6.0
Level 35	3(2.32)	3(2.70)	4(3.35)	12:25	6.0
Level 40	3(2.21)	3(2.56)	4(3.20)	11:48	6.0
Level 45	3(2.19)	3(2.49)	4(3.08)	11:26	6.0
Level 50	3(2.13)	3(2.38)	3(2.98)	10:56	6.0

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

3 trainers at level 40

Kyurem (White)2.21

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

3 trainers at level 40

Kyurem (White)2.21
Kyurem (Black)2.50
Regieleki2.71
Thundurus (Therian)2.65
Zeraora2.65
Xurkitree2.68

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

4 trainers at level 40

Zapdos3.10
Rhyperior3.10
Gigalith3.10
Rampardos3.11
Zacian (Crowned Sword)3.12
Magnezone3.17

The party these numbers assume

1. Kyurem (White)

Ice Fang + Ice Burn

2. Kyurem (Black)

Dragon Tail + Freeze Shock

3. Regieleki

Thunder Shock + Thunder Cage

4. Thundurus (Therian)

Volt Switch + Wildbolt Storm

5. Zeraora

Volt Switch + Plasma Fists

6. Xurkitree

Thunder Shock + Discharge

See the full ranked counter list for Staraptor · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.