Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 1 to be safe — 1 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Spectrier's top six counters needs 0.61 trainers (round up: 1), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 0.68 (round up: 1). The raid timer is 180 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 1:47. A prepared solo becomes possible at level 20. A duo works from level 20.

Spectrier · Tier 3

ghost

Weak to

ghostdark

Boss CP: 21,925
Boss HP: 3,600
Raid timer: 180s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Spectrier at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	1(0.83)	1(0.88)	2(1.06)	2:35	5.8
Level 25	1(0.69)	1(0.77)	1(0.89)	2:14	5.1
Level 30	1(0.62)	1(0.67)	1(0.76)	1:57	3.9
Level 35	1(0.58)	1(0.63)	1(0.71)	1:51	3.3
Level 40	1(0.56)	1(0.61)	1(0.68)	1:47	3.0
Level 45	1(0.55)	1(0.59)	1(0.64)	1:44	2.8
Level 50	1(0.52)	1(0.57)	1(0.61)	1:40	2.5

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

1 trainer at level 40

Darkrai0.56

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

1 trainer at level 40

Darkrai0.56
Hydreigon0.59
Tyranitar0.60
Kyurem (Black)0.61
Eternatus0.64
Zacian (Crowned Sword)0.65

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

1 trainer at level 40

Mewtwo0.66
Salamence0.67
Giratina (Origin)0.66
Gholdengo0.66
Necrozma (Dusk Mane)0.67
Incineroar0.67

The party these numbers assume

1. Darkrai

Snarl + Foul Play

2. Hydreigon

Bite + Brutal Swing

3. Tyranitar

Bite + Brutal Swing

4. Kyurem (Black)

Shadow Claw + Freeze Shock

5. Eternatus

Dragon Tail + Dynamax Cannon

6. Zacian (Crowned Sword)

Metal Claw + Behemoth Blade

See the full ranked counter list for Spectrier · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.