Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 3 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 18,616
- Boss HP
- 15,000
- Raid timer
- 300s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 2(1.74) | 3(2.15) | 3(2.94) | 10:10 | 5.9 |
| Level 25 | 2(1.52) | 2(1.90) | 3(2.59) | 8:58 | 5.8 |
| Level 30 | 2(1.36) | 2(1.71) | 3(2.34) | 8:04 | 5.6 |
| Level 35 | 2(1.30) | 2(1.62) | 3(2.21) | 7:40 | 5.4 |
| Level 40 | 2(1.23) | 2(1.54) | 3(2.12) | 7:17 | 5.2 |
| Level 45 | 2(1.19) | 2(1.51) | 3(2.05) | 7:07 | 5.1 |
| Level 50 | 2(1.16) | 2(1.45) | 2(1.96) | 6:52 | 5.0 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
2 trainers at level 40
- Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.23
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
2 trainers at level 40
- Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.23
- Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)1.28
- Necrozma (Dusk Mane)1.30
- Eternatus1.72
- Metagross1.81
- Naganadel1.90
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
3 trainers at level 40
- Lucario2.05
- Roserade2.06
- Genesect2.09
- Genesect (Burn)2.09
- Genesect (Chill)2.09
- Genesect (Douse)2.09
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Snubbull · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.