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PoGoBud
Raid Hour · YveltalNext · 22h 24m

Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Invite 3 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Snubbull's top six counters needs 1.46 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 2.00 (round up: 3). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 6:44. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 25.
Snubbull · Elite
fairy
Weak to
poisonsteel
Boss CP
21,496
Boss HP
20,000
Raid timer
300s
Party used
6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Snubbull at each attacker level
Attacker levelSix of the best counterA prepared partyA mixed local groupPrepared solo timeFaints per timer
Level 202(1.62)3(2.03)3(2.81)9:195.9
Level 252(1.45)2(1.81)3(2.46)8:215.8
Level 302(1.30)2(1.61)3(2.20)7:245.6
Level 352(1.22)2(1.53)3(2.11)7:025.5
Level 402(1.16)2(1.46)3(2.00)6:445.3
Level 452(1.14)2(1.42)2(1.93)6:315.3
Level 502(1.07)2(1.36)2(1.85)6:155.0

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

  • Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.16

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

  • Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.16
  • Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)1.21
  • Necrozma (Dusk Mane)1.25
  • Eternatus1.64
  • Metagross1.72
  • Naganadel1.81

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

3 trainers at level 40

  • Lucario1.93
  • Roserade1.94
  • Genesect1.96
  • Genesect (Burn)1.96
  • Genesect (Chill)1.96
  • Genesect (Douse)1.96

The party these numbers assume

1. Zacian (Crowned Sword)
Metal Claw + Behemoth Blade
2. Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)
Metal Claw + Behemoth Bash
3. Necrozma (Dusk Mane)
Metal Claw + Sunsteel Strike
4. Eternatus
Poison Jab + Sludge Bomb
5. Metagross
Bullet Punch + Meteor Mash
6. Naganadel
Poison Jab + Sludge Bomb

See the full ranked counter list for Snubbull · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.