Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 1 to be safe — 1 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 9,120
- Boss HP
- 3,600
- Raid timer
- 180s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 1(0.33) | 1(0.42) | 1(0.56) | 1:14 | 1.7 |
| Level 25 | 1(0.30) | 1(0.37) | 1(0.49) | 1:06 | 1.0 |
| Level 30 | 1(0.29) | 1(0.34) | 1(0.45) | 0:59 | 0.8 |
| Level 35 | 1(0.27) | 1(0.32) | 1(0.43) | 0:56 | 0.5 |
| Level 40 | 1(0.25) | 1(0.31) | 1(0.41) | 0:54 | 0.4 |
| Level 45 | 1(0.23) | 1(0.30) | 1(0.40) | 0:52 | 0.4 |
| Level 50 | 1(0.22) | 1(0.29) | 1(0.39) | 0:51 | 0.3 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
1 trainer at level 40
- Zacian (Crowned Sword)0.25
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
1 trainer at level 40
- Zacian (Crowned Sword)0.25
- Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)0.26
- Necrozma (Dusk Mane)0.27
- Eternatus0.34
- Metagross0.35
- Necrozma (Dawn Wings)0.37
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
1 trainer at level 40
- Dialga0.40
- Dialga (Origin)0.40
- Genesect0.40
- Genesect (Burn)0.40
- Genesect (Chill)0.40
- Genesect (Douse)0.40
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Snubbull · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.