Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 3 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Sneasel's top six counters needs 1.73 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 2.25 (round up: 3). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 8:12. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 30.

Sneasel · Shadow Tier 5

darkice

Weak to

fightingrockbugsteelfirefairy

Boss CP: 31,702
Boss HP: 15,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Sneasel at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	3(2.02)	3(2.51)	4(3.49)	11:51	6.0
Level 25	2(1.74)	3(2.13)	3(2.92)	10:04	6.0
Level 30	2(1.61)	2(1.90)	3(2.52)	8:57	6.0
Level 35	2(1.55)	2(1.83)	3(2.36)	8:38	6.0
Level 40	2(1.44)	2(1.73)	3(2.25)	8:12	6.0
Level 45	2(1.41)	2(1.69)	3(2.17)	7:58	6.0
Level 50	2(1.37)	2(1.62)	3(2.08)	7:38	5.9

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

Keldeo1.44

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

Keldeo1.44
Lucario1.64
Terrakion1.71
Blaziken1.76
Kartana1.93
Urshifu (Rapid Strike)1.93

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

3 trainers at level 40

Marshadow2.14
Pheromosa2.13
Necrozma (Dusk Mane)2.18
Hariyama2.22
Raikou2.22
Buzzwole2.27

The party these numbers assume

1. Keldeo

Low Kick + Secret Sword

2. Lucario

Force Palm + Aura Sphere

3. Terrakion

Double Kick + Sacred Sword

4. Blaziken

Counter + Aura Sphere

5. Kartana

Fury Cutter + Sacred Sword

6. Urshifu (Rapid Strike)

Counter + Dynamic Punch

See the full ranked counter list for Sneasel · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.