Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 2 to be safe — 1 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 15,084
- Boss HP
- 15,000
- Raid timer
- 300s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 1(0.96) | 2(1.32) | 2(1.71) | 6:04 | 5.8 |
| Level 25 | 1(0.84) | 2(1.14) | 2(1.49) | 5:14 | 5.5 |
| Level 30 | 1(0.77) | 2(1.02) | 2(1.34) | 4:42 | 5.1 |
| Level 35 | 1(0.72) | 1(0.97) | 2(1.29) | 4:27 | 4.9 |
| Level 40 | 1(0.70) | 1(0.93) | 2(1.23) | 4:16 | 4.7 |
| Level 45 | 1(0.68) | 1(0.90) | 2(1.19) | 4:10 | 4.4 |
| Level 50 | 1(0.65) | 1(0.87) | 2(1.15) | 4:00 | 4.1 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
1 trainer at level 40
- Kyurem (White)0.70
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
1 trainer at level 40
- Kyurem (White)0.70
- Kyurem (Black)0.89
- Galarian Darmanitan (Standard)0.96
- Baxcalibur0.97
- Mamoswine1.01
- Blacephalon1.05
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
2 trainers at level 40
- Eternatus1.18
- Mewtwo1.18
- Mr. Rime1.20
- Frosmoth1.21
- Avalugg1.23
- Aurorus1.23
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Skiploom · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.