Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Shinx's top six counters needs 1.42 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 1.79 (round up: 2). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 6:33. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 20.

Shinx · Elite

electric

Weak to

ground

Boss CP: 16,592
Boss HP: 20,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Shinx at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	2(1.81)	2(1.99)	3(2.50)	9:09	5.8
Level 25	2(1.52)	2(1.73)	3(2.18)	7:57	5.5
Level 30	2(1.40)	2(1.56)	2(1.96)	7:12	5.0
Level 35	2(1.31)	2(1.50)	2(1.86)	6:54	4.7
Level 40	2(1.26)	2(1.42)	2(1.79)	6:33	4.5
Level 45	2(1.22)	2(1.38)	2(1.73)	6:20	4.2
Level 50	2(1.17)	2(1.33)	2(1.67)	6:08	4.0

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

Landorus (Therian)1.26

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

Landorus (Therian)1.26
Groudon1.36
Eternatus1.43
Excadrill1.48
Necrozma (Dawn Wings)1.49
Mamoswine1.52

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

2 trainers at level 40

Rhydon1.71
Golurk1.70
Blacephalon1.75
Keldeo1.74
Kyurem (White)1.74
Mudsdale1.77

The party these numbers assume

1. Landorus (Therian)

Mud Shot + Sandsear Storm

2. Groudon

Mud Shot + Precipice Blades

3. Eternatus

Poison Jab + Dynamax Cannon

4. Excadrill

Mud-Slap + Scorching Sands

5. Necrozma (Dawn Wings)

Psycho Cut + Moongeist Beam

6. Mamoswine

Mud-Slap + High Horsepower

See the full ranked counter list for Shinx · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.