Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 4 to be safe — 3 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 21,683
- Boss HP
- 15,000
- Raid timer
- 300s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 4(3.55) | 4(3.50) | 5(4.34) | 16:33 | 5.6 |
| Level 25 | 3(2.90) | 4(3.05) | 4(3.82) | 14:24 | 5.3 |
| Level 30 | 3(2.67) | 3(2.75) | 4(3.45) | 12:59 | 4.9 |
| Level 35 | 3(2.47) | 3(2.66) | 4(3.23) | 12:34 | 4.5 |
| Level 40 | 3(2.38) | 3(2.52) | 4(3.11) | 11:55 | 4.3 |
| Level 45 | 3(2.27) | 3(2.45) | 4(3.02) | 11:34 | 4.2 |
| Level 50 | 3(2.19) | 3(2.38) | 3(2.90) | 11:13 | 4.0 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
3 trainers at level 40
- Blacephalon2.38
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
3 trainers at level 40
- Blacephalon2.38
- Kyurem (White)2.42
- Rayquaza2.51
- Eternatus2.51
- Kyurem (Black)2.59
- Reshiram2.73
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
4 trainers at level 40
- Cinderace3.02
- Volcarona3.02
- Galarian Articuno3.04
- Chandelure3.07
- Naganadel3.09
- Zacian (Crowned Sword)3.12
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Servine · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.