Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 11,197
- Boss HP
- 4,000
- Raid timer
- 180s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 2(1.33) | 2(1.38) | 2(1.72) | 4:02 | 4.1 |
| Level 25 | 2(1.15) | 2(1.21) | 2(1.51) | 3:32 | 3.3 |
| Level 30 | 2(1.02) | 2(1.09) | 2(1.34) | 3:12 | 2.7 |
| Level 35 | 1(0.99) | 2(1.04) | 2(1.28) | 3:03 | 2.5 |
| Level 40 | 1(0.93) | 2(1.00) | 2(1.23) | 2:56 | 2.3 |
| Level 45 | 1(0.86) | 1(0.96) | 2(1.20) | 2:49 | 2.1 |
| Level 50 | 1(0.85) | 1(0.93) | 2(1.15) | 2:44 | 1.9 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
1 trainer at level 40
- Blacephalon0.93
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
2 trainers at level 40
- Blacephalon0.93
- Kyurem (White)0.95
- Rayquaza0.99
- Eternatus1.00
- Kyurem (Black)1.08
- Reshiram1.08
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
2 trainers at level 40
- Pheromosa1.18
- Volcarona1.19
- Chandelure1.22
- Galarian Articuno1.20
- Naganadel1.21
- Darmanitan (Standard)1.23
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Servine · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.