Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 1 to be safe — 1 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Seaking's top six counters needs 0.53 trainers (round up: 1), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 0.67 (round up: 1). The raid timer is 180 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 1:33. A prepared solo becomes possible at level 20. A duo works from level 20.

Seaking · Tier 3

water

Weak to

grasselectric

Boss CP: 14,509
Boss HP: 3,600
Raid timer: 180s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Seaking at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	1(0.75)	1(0.77)	1(0.96)	2:16	5.4
Level 25	1(0.63)	1(0.66)	1(0.83)	1:56	4.3
Level 30	1(0.53)	1(0.58)	1(0.74)	1:41	3.0
Level 35	1(0.50)	1(0.56)	1(0.69)	1:38	2.8
Level 40	1(0.50)	1(0.53)	1(0.67)	1:33	2.4
Level 45	1(0.48)	1(0.51)	1(0.65)	1:30	2.2
Level 50	1(0.45)	1(0.49)	1(0.63)	1:27	2.0

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

1 trainer at level 40

Regieleki0.50

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

1 trainer at level 40

Regieleki0.50
Kartana0.52
Zeraora0.53
Xurkitree0.54
Zekrom0.54
Thundurus (Therian)0.55

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

1 trainer at level 40

Kyurem (Black)0.63
Necrozma (Dawn Wings)0.65
Magnezone0.65
Zapdos0.66
Roserade0.65
Decidueye0.67

The party these numbers assume

1. Regieleki

Thunder Shock + Thunder Cage

2. Kartana

Razor Leaf + Leaf Blade

3. Zeraora

Volt Switch + Plasma Fists

4. Xurkitree

Thunder Shock + Discharge

5. Zekrom

Charge Beam + Fusion Bolt

6. Thundurus (Therian)

Volt Switch + Wildbolt Storm

See the full ranked counter list for Seaking · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.