Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 2 to be safe — 1 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Alolan Sandslash's top six counters needs 0.86 trainers (round up: 1), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 1.04 (round up: 2). The raid timer is 180 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 2:31. A prepared solo becomes possible at level 30. A duo works from level 20.

Alolan Sandslash · Shadow Tier 3

icesteel

Weak to

fightingfireground

Boss CP: 17,597
Boss HP: 4,000
Raid timer: 180s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Alolan Sandslash at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	2(1.07)	2(1.30)	2(1.54)	3:49	6.0
Level 25	1(0.89)	2(1.08)	2(1.31)	3:10	5.7
Level 30	1(0.82)	1(0.94)	2(1.15)	2:45	5.3
Level 35	1(0.79)	1(0.91)	2(1.09)	2:39	5.1
Level 40	1(0.77)	1(0.86)	2(1.04)	2:31	4.8
Level 45	1(0.72)	1(0.83)	2(1.01)	2:25	4.5
Level 50	1(0.69)	1(0.79)	1(0.98)	2:18	4.1

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

1 trainer at level 40

Keldeo0.77

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

1 trainer at level 40

Keldeo0.77
Blacephalon0.82
Lucario0.86
Reshiram0.88
Terrakion0.90
Blaziken0.93

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

2 trainers at level 40

Heatran1.01
Conkeldurr1.02
Kartana1.01
Darmanitan (Standard)1.01
Emboar1.02
Gallade1.04

The party these numbers assume

1. Keldeo

Low Kick + Secret Sword

2. Blacephalon

Incinerate + Mind Blown

3. Lucario

Force Palm + Aura Sphere

4. Reshiram

Fire Fang + Fusion Flare

5. Terrakion

Double Kick + Sacred Sword

6. Blaziken

Counter + Aura Sphere

See the full ranked counter list for Alolan Sandslash · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.