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PoGoBud
Raid Hour · YveltalNext · 23h 22m

Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Invite 1 to be safe — 1 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Rotom (Wash)'s top six counters needs 0.83 trainers (round up: 1), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 0.98 (round up: 1). The raid timer is 180 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 2:26. A prepared solo becomes possible at level 30. A duo works from level 20.
Rotom (Wash) · Tier 3
electricwater
Weak to
groundgrass
Boss CP
20,100
Boss HP
3,600
Raid timer
180s
Party used
6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Rotom (Wash) at each attacker level
Attacker levelSix of the best counterA prepared partyA mixed local groupPrepared solo timeFaints per timer
Level 202(1.09)2(1.22)2(1.39)3:345.5
Level 251(0.94)2(1.03)2(1.22)3:025.0
Level 301(0.84)1(0.91)2(1.08)2:404.3
Level 351(0.80)1(0.88)2(1.02)2:344.0
Level 401(0.76)1(0.83)1(0.98)2:263.6
Level 451(0.73)1(0.80)1(0.94)2:213.3
Level 501(0.72)1(0.77)1(0.90)2:163.0

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

1 trainer at level 40

  • Kartana0.76

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

1 trainer at level 40

  • Kartana0.76
  • Landorus (Therian)0.78
  • Shaymin (Sky)0.82
  • Groudon0.86
  • Zarude0.89
  • Xurkitree0.88

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

1 trainer at level 40

  • Tapu Bulu0.94
  • Excadrill0.94
  • Mamoswine0.95
  • Decidueye0.95
  • Breloom0.96
  • Garchomp0.96

The party these numbers assume

1. Kartana
Razor Leaf + Leaf Blade
2. Landorus (Therian)
Mud Shot + Sandsear Storm
3. Shaymin (Sky)
Magical Leaf + Grass Knot
4. Groudon
Mud Shot + Precipice Blades
5. Zarude
Vine Whip + Power Whip
6. Xurkitree
Thunder Shock + Power Whip

See the full ranked counter list for Rotom (Wash) · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.