Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 6 to be safe — 5 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 47,376
- Boss HP
- 20,000
- Raid timer
- 300s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 5(4.67) | 6(5.98) | 8(7.68) | 27:32 | 6.0 |
| Level 25 | 4(3.98) | 6(5.03) | 7(6.45) | 23:08 | 6.0 |
| Level 30 | 4(3.57) | 5(4.44) | 6(5.73) | 20:26 | 6.0 |
| Level 35 | 4(3.36) | 5(4.24) | 6(5.43) | 19:31 | 6.0 |
| Level 40 | 4(3.26) | 5(4.04) | 6(5.13) | 18:36 | 5.9 |
| Level 45 | 4(3.10) | 4(3.91) | 5(4.95) | 18:01 | 5.9 |
| Level 50 | 4(3.00) | 4(3.79) | 5(4.76) | 17:27 | 5.9 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
4 trainers at level 40
- Kyurem (White)3.26
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
5 trainers at level 40
- Kyurem (White)3.26
- Kyurem (Black)3.53
- Eternatus4.22
- Rampardos4.35
- Glimmora4.37
- Rhyperior4.54
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
6 trainers at level 40
- Terrakion4.79
- Regigigas4.79
- Galarian Darmanitan (Standard)4.83
- Tyranitar4.98
- Weavile5.06
- Glaceon5.06
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Rotom (Fan) · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.