Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 13,718
- Boss HP
- 15,000
- Raid timer
- 300s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 2(1.35) | 2(1.53) | 2(1.83) | 7:02 | 4.7 |
| Level 25 | 2(1.21) | 2(1.36) | 2(1.60) | 6:15 | 4.1 |
| Level 30 | 2(1.06) | 2(1.22) | 2(1.44) | 5:37 | 3.5 |
| Level 35 | 2(1.01) | 2(1.17) | 2(1.38) | 5:23 | 3.2 |
| Level 40 | 1(0.96) | 2(1.12) | 2(1.32) | 5:09 | 3.0 |
| Level 45 | 1(0.93) | 2(1.09) | 2(1.28) | 5:01 | 2.8 |
| Level 50 | 1(0.91) | 2(1.06) | 2(1.24) | 4:51 | 2.5 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
1 trainer at level 40
- Blacephalon0.96
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
2 trainers at level 40
- Blacephalon0.96
- Rayquaza1.04
- Reshiram1.13
- Salamence1.17
- Enamorus (Incarnate)1.21
- Moltres1.21
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
2 trainers at level 40
- Darmanitan (Standard)1.29
- Blaziken1.30
- Tornadus (Therian)1.30
- Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.31
- Galarian Articuno1.32
- Rampardos1.32
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Rellor · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.