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PoGoBud

Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Invite 4 to be safe — 4 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Mega Pyroar's top six counters needs 3.29 trainers (round up: 4), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 3.92 (round up: 4). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 15:18. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party.
Mega Pyroar · Primal
firenormal
Weak to
fightinggroundrockwater
Boss CP
63,048
Boss HP
22,500
Raid timer
300s
Party used
6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Mega Pyroar at each attacker level
Attacker levelSix of the best counterA prepared partyA mixed local groupPrepared solo timeFaints per timer
Level 205(4.14)6(5.04)7(6.13)23:276.0
Level 254(3.54)5(4.30)6(5.16)19:586.0
Level 304(3.30)4(3.67)5(4.34)17:026.0
Level 354(3.19)4(3.49)5(4.10)16:126.0
Level 403(2.94)4(3.29)4(3.92)15:186.0
Level 453(2.85)4(3.17)4(3.78)14:445.9
Level 503(2.77)4(3.06)4(3.64)14:125.9

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

3 trainers at level 40

  • Keldeo2.94

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

4 trainers at level 40

  • Keldeo2.94
  • Blaziken3.22
  • Terrakion3.34
  • Landorus (Therian)3.33
  • Lucario3.42
  • Eternatus3.52

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

4 trainers at level 40

  • Inteleon3.78
  • Tyrantrum3.75
  • Rampardos3.87
  • Garchomp3.86
  • Urshifu (Rapid Strike)3.94
  • Marshadow3.90

The party these numbers assume

1. Keldeo
Low Kick + Secret Sword
2. Blaziken
Counter + Aura Sphere
3. Terrakion
Double Kick + Sacred Sword
4. Landorus (Therian)
Mud Shot + Sandsear Storm
5. Lucario
Force Palm + Aura Sphere
6. Eternatus
Poison Jab + Dynamax Cannon

See the full ranked counter list for Mega Pyroar · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.