Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Pumpkaboo (Small)'s top six counters needs 1.16 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 1.48 (round up: 2). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 5:21. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 20.

Pumpkaboo (Small) · Tier 5

ghostgrass

Weak to

flyingghostfireicedark

Boss CP: 19,782
Boss HP: 15,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Pumpkaboo (Small) at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	2(1.72)	2(1.69)	3(2.05)	7:48	6.0
Level 25	2(1.38)	2(1.44)	2(1.79)	6:38	5.8
Level 30	2(1.21)	2(1.29)	2(1.61)	5:56	5.3
Level 35	2(1.16)	2(1.23)	2(1.55)	5:41	5.2
Level 40	2(1.10)	2(1.16)	2(1.48)	5:21	5.0
Level 45	2(1.08)	2(1.13)	2(1.43)	5:12	4.7
Level 50	2(1.03)	2(1.09)	2(1.38)	5:02	4.5

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

Necrozma (Dawn Wings)1.10

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

Necrozma (Dawn Wings)1.10
Kyurem (White)1.13
Kyurem (Black)1.14
Blacephalon1.17
Rayquaza1.19
Reshiram1.25

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

2 trainers at level 40

Volcarona1.45
Honchkrow1.45
Chandelure1.45
Staraptor1.47
Cinderace1.47
Lunala1.49

The party these numbers assume

1. Necrozma (Dawn Wings)

Psycho Cut + Moongeist Beam

2. Kyurem (White)

Ice Fang + Ice Burn

3. Kyurem (Black)

Shadow Claw + Freeze Shock

4. Blacephalon

Incinerate + Mind Blown

5. Rayquaza

Air Slash + Dragon Ascent

6. Reshiram

Fire Fang + Fusion Flare

See the full ranked counter list for Pumpkaboo (Small) · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.