Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 3 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Pignite's top six counters needs 1.93 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 2.22 (round up: 3). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 8:53. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 40.

Pignite · Elite

firefighting

Weak to

flyinggroundwaterpsychic

Boss CP: 29,245
Boss HP: 20,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Pignite at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	3(2.49)	3(2.80)	4(3.23)	12:53	6.0
Level 25	3(2.17)	3(2.40)	3(2.77)	11:01	6.0
Level 30	2(1.90)	3(2.12)	3(2.45)	9:45	6.0
Level 35	2(1.80)	3(2.02)	3(2.33)	9:19	6.0
Level 40	2(1.75)	2(1.93)	3(2.22)	8:53	6.0
Level 45	2(1.69)	2(1.88)	3(2.15)	8:38	6.0
Level 50	2(1.61)	2(1.79)	3(2.06)	8:14	6.0

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

Rayquaza1.75

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

Rayquaza1.75
Mewtwo1.78
Hoopa (Unbound)1.94
Landorus (Therian)2.01
Galarian Articuno2.05
Yveltal2.06

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

3 trainers at level 40

Moltres2.13
Salamence2.15
Eternatus2.17
Lunala2.19
Enamorus (Therian)2.20
Regigigas2.19

The party these numbers assume

1. Rayquaza

Air Slash + Dragon Ascent

2. Mewtwo

Psycho Cut + Psystrike

3. Hoopa (Unbound)

Confusion + Psychic

4. Landorus (Therian)

Mud Shot + Sandsear Storm

5. Galarian Articuno

Psycho Cut + Fly

6. Yveltal

Gust + Oblivion Wing

See the full ranked counter list for Pignite · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.