Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Pidgey's top six counters needs 1.39 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 1.77 (round up: 2). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 6:34. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 20.

Pidgey · Shadow Tier 5

normalflying

Weak to

rockelectricice

Boss CP: 11,489
Boss HP: 15,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Pidgey at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	2(1.78)	2(1.95)	3(2.43)	9:11	6.0
Level 25	2(1.55)	2(1.69)	3(2.13)	7:58	5.8
Level 30	2(1.40)	2(1.53)	2(1.93)	7:14	5.3
Level 35	2(1.34)	2(1.46)	2(1.83)	6:54	4.8
Level 40	2(1.28)	2(1.39)	2(1.77)	6:34	4.5
Level 45	2(1.24)	2(1.35)	2(1.70)	6:24	4.2
Level 50	2(1.21)	2(1.30)	2(1.65)	6:08	4.0

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

Kyurem (White)1.28

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

Kyurem (White)1.28
Regieleki1.34
Kyurem (Black)1.38
Thundurus (Therian)1.44
Zeraora1.44
Xurkitree1.46

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

2 trainers at level 40

Electivire1.69
Raikou1.70
Galarian Darmanitan (Standard)1.72
Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.73
Gigalith1.74
Rhyperior1.78

The party these numbers assume

1. Kyurem (White)

Ice Fang + Ice Burn

2. Regieleki

Thunder Shock + Thunder Cage

3. Kyurem (Black)

Dragon Tail + Freeze Shock

4. Thundurus (Therian)

Volt Switch + Wildbolt Storm

5. Zeraora

Volt Switch + Plasma Fists

6. Xurkitree

Thunder Shock + Discharge

See the full ranked counter list for Pidgey · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.