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PoGoBud
Raid Hour · YveltalNext · 1d 2h

Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Invite 3 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Pidgeotto's top six counters needs 1.80 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 2.29 (round up: 3). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 8:17. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 30.
Pidgeotto · Elite
normalflying
Weak to
rockelectricice
Boss CP
20,449
Boss HP
20,000
Raid timer
300s
Party used
6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Pidgeotto at each attacker level
Attacker levelSix of the best counterA prepared partyA mixed local groupPrepared solo timeFaints per timer
Level 203(2.32)3(2.52)4(3.15)11:366.0
Level 253(2.00)3(2.20)3(2.78)10:076.0
Level 302(1.80)2(1.97)3(2.49)9:045.9
Level 352(1.72)2(1.88)3(2.39)8:385.8
Level 402(1.65)2(1.80)3(2.29)8:175.5
Level 452(1.61)2(1.74)3(2.22)8:005.4
Level 502(1.55)2(1.68)3(2.15)7:445.1

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

  • Kyurem (White)1.65

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

  • Kyurem (White)1.65
  • Regieleki1.72
  • Kyurem (Black)1.80
  • Thundurus (Therian)1.86
  • Zeraora1.87
  • Xurkitree1.91

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

3 trainers at level 40

  • Electivire2.22
  • Galarian Darmanitan (Standard)2.22
  • Raikou2.24
  • Necrozma (Dusk Mane)2.25
  • Rhyperior2.27
  • Gigalith2.27

The party these numbers assume

1. Kyurem (White)
Ice Fang + Ice Burn
2. Regieleki
Lock-On + Thunder Cage
3. Kyurem (Black)
Dragon Tail + Freeze Shock
4. Thundurus (Therian)
Volt Switch + Wildbolt Storm
5. Zeraora
Volt Switch + Plasma Fists
6. Xurkitree
Thunder Shock + Discharge

See the full ranked counter list for Pidgeotto · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.