Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 3 to be safe — 3 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 36,940
- Boss HP
- 20,000
- Raid timer
- 300s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 4(3.73) | 4(3.42) | 5(4.47) | 15:44 | 6.0 |
| Level 25 | 4(3.33) | 3(2.82) | 4(3.76) | 12:58 | 6.0 |
| Level 30 | 3(2.58) | 3(2.36) | 4(3.20) | 10:52 | 6.0 |
| Level 35 | 3(2.17) | 3(2.21) | 3(2.93) | 10:10 | 6.0 |
| Level 40 | 2(1.98) | 3(2.07) | 3(2.76) | 9:32 | 6.0 |
| Level 45 | 2(1.86) | 2(1.97) | 3(2.66) | 9:03 | 6.0 |
| Level 50 | 2(1.78) | 2(1.89) | 3(2.57) | 8:43 | 6.0 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
2 trainers at level 40
- Regieleki1.98
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
3 trainers at level 40
- Regieleki1.98
- Zeraora1.97
- Xurkitree2.02
- Thundurus (Therian)2.07
- Zekrom2.06
- Raikou2.32
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
3 trainers at level 40
- Thundurus (Incarnate)2.61
- Vikavolt2.63
- Toxtricity2.62
- Jolteon2.72
- Manectric2.74
- Kyurem (Black)2.74
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Pelipper · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.