Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Oinkologne's top six counters needs 1.63 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 1.98 (round up: 2). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 7:31. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 25.

Oinkologne · Tier 5

normal

Weak to

fighting

Boss CP: 31,907
Boss HP: 15,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Oinkologne at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	3(2.10)	3(2.46)	3(2.80)	11:19	6.0
Level 25	2(1.69)	2(1.99)	3(2.40)	9:11	6.0
Level 30	2(1.52)	2(1.80)	3(2.16)	8:18	5.9
Level 35	2(1.46)	2(1.71)	3(2.07)	7:52	5.9
Level 40	2(1.40)	2(1.63)	2(1.98)	7:31	5.9
Level 45	2(1.33)	2(1.57)	2(1.91)	7:13	5.8
Level 50	2(1.29)	2(1.53)	2(1.85)	7:02	5.8

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

Keldeo1.40

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

Keldeo1.40
Lucario1.57
Terrakion1.61
Kartana1.67
Blaziken1.71
Conkeldurr1.84

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

2 trainers at level 40

Breloom1.90
Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.92
Marshadow1.95
Kyurem (Black)1.97
Mewtwo1.96
Hawlucha1.98

The party these numbers assume

1. Keldeo

Low Kick + Secret Sword

2. Lucario

Force Palm + Aura Sphere

3. Terrakion

Double Kick + Sacred Sword

4. Kartana

Fury Cutter + Sacred Sword

5. Blaziken

Counter + Aura Sphere

6. Conkeldurr

Force Palm + Dynamic Punch

See the full ranked counter list for Oinkologne · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.