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PoGoBud

Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Invite 1 to be safe — 1 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Nidoking's top six counters needs 0.56 trainers (round up: 1), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 0.67 (round up: 1). The raid timer is 180 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 1:38. A prepared solo becomes possible at level 20. A duo works from level 20.
Nidoking · Tier 3
poisonground
Weak to
groundwaterpsychicice
Boss CP
17,182
Boss HP
3,600
Raid timer
180s
Party used
6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Nidoking at each attacker level
Attacker levelSix of the best counterA prepared partyA mixed local groupPrepared solo timeFaints per timer
Level 201(0.71)1(0.81)2(1.01)2:225.4
Level 251(0.60)1(0.68)1(0.86)1:594.2
Level 301(0.55)1(0.61)1(0.74)1:473.3
Level 351(0.52)1(0.58)1(0.70)1:423.0
Level 401(0.49)1(0.56)1(0.67)1:382.7
Level 451(0.48)1(0.54)1(0.65)1:352.5
Level 501(0.44)1(0.52)1(0.62)1:312.2

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

1 trainer at level 40

  • Kyurem (White)0.49

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

1 trainer at level 40

  • Kyurem (White)0.49
  • Mewtwo0.52
  • Kyurem (Black)0.54
  • Landorus (Therian)0.59
  • Hoopa (Unbound)0.58
  • Necrozma (Dawn Wings)0.62

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

1 trainer at level 40

  • Regigigas0.66
  • Quaquaval0.66
  • Eternatus0.66
  • Hoopa0.66
  • Kingler0.67
  • Alakazam0.68

The party these numbers assume

1. Kyurem (White)
Ice Fang + Ice Burn
2. Mewtwo
Confusion + Psystrike
3. Kyurem (Black)
Dragon Tail + Freeze Shock
4. Landorus (Therian)
Mud Shot + Sandsear Storm
5. Hoopa (Unbound)
Confusion + Psychic
6. Necrozma (Dawn Wings)
Psycho Cut + Moongeist Beam

See the full ranked counter list for Nidoking · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.