Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 3 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 40,637
- Boss HP
- 15,000
- Raid timer
- 300s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 2(1.90) | 3(2.53) | 3(2.99) | 11:39 | 6.0 |
| Level 25 | 2(1.69) | 3(2.18) | 3(2.52) | 10:01 | 6.0 |
| Level 30 | 2(1.49) | 2(1.93) | 3(2.23) | 8:54 | 6.0 |
| Level 35 | 2(1.44) | 2(1.85) | 3(2.12) | 8:31 | 6.0 |
| Level 40 | 2(1.32) | 2(1.74) | 3(2.02) | 8:01 | 6.0 |
| Level 45 | 2(1.28) | 2(1.68) | 2(1.95) | 7:43 | 6.0 |
| Level 50 | 2(1.26) | 2(1.63) | 2(1.88) | 7:29 | 6.0 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
2 trainers at level 40
- Necrozma (Dawn Wings)1.32
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
2 trainers at level 40
- Necrozma (Dawn Wings)1.32
- Darkrai1.77
- Landorus (Therian)1.79
- Lunala1.82
- Hydreigon1.84
- Groudon1.90
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
3 trainers at level 40
- Excadrill1.99
- Zacian (Crowned Sword)2.02
- Kingambit2.00
- Dragapult2.02
- Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)2.02
- Chandelure2.03
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Munkidori · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.