Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Mega Meowstic's top six counters needs 1.31 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 1.53 (round up: 2). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 6:05. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 20.

Mega Meowstic · Mega

psychic

Weak to

bugghostdark

Boss CP: 42,246
Boss HP: 9,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Mega Meowstic at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	2(1.67)	2(1.89)	3(2.34)	8:46	6.0
Level 25	2(1.40)	2(1.62)	2(1.92)	7:32	6.0
Level 30	2(1.24)	2(1.48)	2(1.68)	6:54	6.0
Level 35	2(1.17)	2(1.41)	2(1.61)	6:33	6.0
Level 40	2(1.05)	2(1.31)	2(1.53)	6:05	6.0
Level 45	2(1.04)	2(1.27)	2(1.48)	5:55	6.0
Level 50	1(0.99)	2(1.24)	2(1.42)	5:46	6.0

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

Necrozma (Dawn Wings)1.05

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

Necrozma (Dawn Wings)1.05
Darkrai1.32
Kyurem (Black)1.37
Hydreigon1.36
Lunala1.37
Tyranitar1.39

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

2 trainers at level 40

Kingambit1.50
Chandelure1.51
Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.49
Necrozma (Dusk Mane)1.50
Dragapult1.51
Kartana1.52

The party these numbers assume

1. Necrozma (Dawn Wings)

Psycho Cut + Moongeist Beam

2. Darkrai

Snarl + Foul Play

3. Kyurem (Black)

Shadow Claw + Freeze Shock

4. Hydreigon

Bite + Brutal Swing

5. Lunala

Shadow Claw + Shadow Ball

6. Tyranitar

Bite + Brutal Swing

See the full ranked counter list for Mega Meowstic · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.