Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 4 to be safe — 4 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 31,879
- Boss HP
- 20,000
- Raid timer
- 300s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 5(4.66) | 5(4.82) | 6(5.66) | 22:11 | 6.0 |
| Level 25 | 5(4.27) | 5(4.29) | 5(4.84) | 19:45 | 6.0 |
| Level 30 | 4(3.00) | 4(3.64) | 5(4.24) | 16:45 | 5.9 |
| Level 35 | 3(2.85) | 4(3.46) | 5(4.01) | 15:54 | 5.9 |
| Level 40 | 3(2.72) | 4(3.33) | 4(3.79) | 15:19 | 5.7 |
| Level 45 | 3(2.61) | 4(3.22) | 4(3.64) | 14:48 | 5.7 |
| Level 50 | 3(2.56) | 4(3.12) | 4(3.51) | 14:21 | 5.6 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
3 trainers at level 40
- Necrozma (Dawn Wings)2.72
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
4 trainers at level 40
- Necrozma (Dawn Wings)2.72
- Landorus (Therian)3.38
- Inteleon3.45
- Kyogre3.45
- Darkrai3.47
- Groudon3.50
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
4 trainers at level 40
- Absol3.76
- Eternatus3.77
- Quaquaval3.75
- Blacephalon3.75
- Primarina3.79
- Rhyperior3.81
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Alolan Marowak · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.