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PoGoBud
Raid Hour · YveltalNext · 22h 5m

Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Invite 5 to be safe — 4 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Koraidon's top six counters needs 3.12 trainers (round up: 4), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 4.01 (round up: 5). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 14:20. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party.
Koraidon · Elite
fightingdragon
Weak to
fairyflyingpsychicicedragon
Boss CP
60,652
Boss HP
20,000
Raid timer
300s
Party used
6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Koraidon at each attacker level
Attacker levelSix of the best counterA prepared partyA mixed local groupPrepared solo timeFaints per timer
Level 205(4.12)5(4.78)6(5.96)21:596.0
Level 254(3.43)5(4.16)6(5.09)19:076.0
Level 304(3.16)4(3.52)5(4.53)16:135.9
Level 353(2.92)4(3.28)5(4.24)15:055.9
Level 403(2.82)4(3.12)5(4.01)14:205.8
Level 453(2.76)3(2.96)4(3.82)13:385.7
Level 503(2.66)3(2.84)4(3.62)13:045.7

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

3 trainers at level 40

  • Zacian (Crowned Sword)2.82

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

4 trainers at level 40

  • Zacian (Crowned Sword)2.82
  • Eternatus2.91
  • Enamorus (Incarnate)3.12
  • Xerneas3.17
  • Tapu Lele3.29
  • Togekiss3.39

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

5 trainers at level 40

  • Hatterene3.68
  • Tapu Bulu3.66
  • Mewtwo3.67
  • Sylveon3.72
  • Dialga (Origin)3.98
  • Granbull4.04

The party these numbers assume

1. Zacian (Crowned Sword)
Metal Claw + Play Rough
2. Eternatus
Dragon Tail + Dynamax Cannon
3. Enamorus (Incarnate)
Fairy Wind + Dazzling Gleam
4. Xerneas
Geomancy + Moonblast
5. Tapu Lele
Confusion + Nature's Madness
6. Togekiss
Charm + Dazzling Gleam

See the full ranked counter list for Koraidon · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.