Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 6 to be safe — 5 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 54,411
- Boss HP
- 15,000
- Raid timer
- 300s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 7(6.84) | 9(8.25) | 10(9.64) | 38:58 | 6.0 |
| Level 25 | 6(5.39) | 7(6.89) | 8(7.93) | 32:34 | 6.0 |
| Level 30 | 5(4.23) | 6(5.44) | 7(6.85) | 25:41 | 6.0 |
| Level 35 | 4(3.94) | 6(5.06) | 7(6.29) | 23:54 | 6.0 |
| Level 40 | 4(3.80) | 5(4.67) | 6(5.99) | 22:04 | 6.0 |
| Level 45 | 4(3.67) | 5(4.53) | 6(5.78) | 21:24 | 6.0 |
| Level 50 | 4(3.53) | 5(4.42) | 6(5.56) | 20:52 | 6.0 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
4 trainers at level 40
- Kyurem (White)3.80
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
5 trainers at level 40
- Kyurem (White)3.80
- Kyurem (Black)4.28
- Zarude4.61
- Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)4.87
- Shaymin (Sky)5.18
- Necrozma (Dawn Wings)5.28
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
6 trainers at level 40
- Gyarados5.61
- Kyurem5.63
- Golisopod5.68
- Sceptile5.91
- Regigigas5.82
- Swampert5.77
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Groudon · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.