Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 1 to be safe — 1 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Gothita's top six counters needs 0.87 trainers (round up: 1), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 1.00 (round up: 1). The raid timer is 180 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 2:33. A prepared solo becomes possible at level 30. A duo works from level 20.

Gothita · Shadow Tier 3

psychic

Weak to

bugghostdark

Boss CP: 8,053
Boss HP: 4,000
Raid timer: 180s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Gothita at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	1(0.97)	2(1.23)	2(1.44)	3:35	4.4
Level 25	1(0.87)	2(1.07)	2(1.22)	3:07	3.8
Level 30	1(0.77)	1(0.97)	2(1.10)	2:50	3.3
Level 35	1(0.77)	1(0.92)	2(1.05)	2:42	2.8
Level 40	1(0.69)	1(0.87)	1(1.00)	2:33	2.5
Level 45	1(0.70)	1(0.86)	1(0.97)	2:31	2.3
Level 50	1(0.65)	1(0.83)	1(0.93)	2:25	2.1

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

1 trainer at level 40

Necrozma (Dawn Wings)0.69

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

1 trainer at level 40

Necrozma (Dawn Wings)0.69
Darkrai0.88
Blacephalon0.88
Kyurem (Black)0.92
Lunala0.93
Chandelure0.95

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

1 trainer at level 40

Necrozma (Dusk Mane)0.98
Gholdengo0.98
Hisuian Zoroark0.99
Hoopa0.99
Gengar1.00
Volcarona1.00

The party these numbers assume

1. Necrozma (Dawn Wings)

Psycho Cut + Moongeist Beam

2. Darkrai

Snarl + Foul Play

3. Blacephalon

Astonish + Shadow Ball

4. Kyurem (Black)

Shadow Claw + Freeze Shock

5. Lunala

Shadow Claw + Shadow Ball

6. Chandelure

Hex + Shadow Ball

See the full ranked counter list for Gothita · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.