Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 1 to be safe — 1 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 21,702
- Boss HP
- 3,600
- Raid timer
- 180s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 1(1.00) | 2(1.13) | 2(1.33) | 3:18 | 5.5 |
| Level 25 | 1(0.85) | 1(0.97) | 2(1.15) | 2:50 | 4.9 |
| Level 30 | 1(0.78) | 1(0.85) | 2(1.01) | 2:29 | 4.0 |
| Level 35 | 1(0.76) | 1(0.82) | 1(0.96) | 2:24 | 3.5 |
| Level 40 | 1(0.72) | 1(0.78) | 1(0.92) | 2:17 | 3.2 |
| Level 45 | 1(0.70) | 1(0.75) | 1(0.89) | 2:11 | 2.9 |
| Level 50 | 1(0.65) | 1(0.73) | 1(0.86) | 2:07 | 2.6 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
1 trainer at level 40
- Rayquaza0.72
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
1 trainer at level 40
- Rayquaza0.72
- Regieleki0.75
- Thundurus (Therian)0.77
- Zeraora0.80
- Xurkitree0.80
- Zekrom0.81
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
1 trainer at level 40
- Galarian Articuno0.90
- Staraptor0.90
- Necrozma (Dawn Wings)0.91
- Raikou0.92
- Tornadus (Therian)0.92
- Kyurem (Black)0.92
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Golisopod · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.