Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 3 to be safe — 3 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Golem's top six counters needs 2.60 trainers (round up: 3), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 2.94 (round up: 3). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 12:16. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party.

Golem · Shadow Tier 5

rockground

Weak to

watergrassfightinggroundsteelice

Boss CP: 40,396
Boss HP: 15,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Golem at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	4(3.52)	4(3.83)	5(4.57)	18:07	6.0
Level 25	4(3.05)	4(3.23)	4(3.84)	15:14	6.0
Level 30	3(2.71)	3(2.90)	4(3.30)	13:41	6.0
Level 35	3(2.63)	3(2.74)	4(3.11)	12:57	6.0
Level 40	3(2.48)	3(2.60)	3(2.94)	12:16	6.0
Level 45	3(2.32)	3(2.45)	3(2.85)	11:34	6.0
Level 50	3(2.23)	3(2.38)	3(2.73)	11:15	6.0

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

3 trainers at level 40

Kartana2.48

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

3 trainers at level 40

Kartana2.48
Zarude2.52
Shaymin (Sky)2.59
Rillaboom2.62
Kyogre2.63
Quaquaval2.74

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

3 trainers at level 40

Swampert2.89
Greninja2.89
Tapu Bulu2.88
Roserade2.96
Breloom2.93
Kingler2.97

The party these numbers assume

1. Kartana

Razor Leaf + Leaf Blade

2. Zarude

Vine Whip + Power Whip

3. Shaymin (Sky)

Magical Leaf + Grass Knot

4. Rillaboom

Razor Leaf + Frenzy Plant

5. Kyogre

Waterfall + Origin Pulse

6. Quaquaval

Water Gun + Hydro Cannon

See the full ranked counter list for Golem · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.