Skip to content
PoGoBud
Raid Hour · YveltalNext · 23h 21m

Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Giratina (Origin)'s top six counters needs 1.22 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 1.54 (round up: 2). The raid timer is 180 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 3:35. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 25.
Giratina (Origin) · Shadow Tier 3
ghostdragon
Weak to
ghosticedragondarkfairy
Boss CP
21,573
Boss HP
4,000
Raid timer
180s
Party used
6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Giratina (Origin) at each attacker level
Attacker levelSix of the best counterA prepared partyA mixed local groupPrepared solo timeFaints per timer
Level 202(1.54)3(2.06)3(2.42)6:016.0
Level 252(1.28)2(1.63)3(2.05)4:466.0
Level 302(1.10)2(1.35)2(1.74)3:576.0
Level 352(1.04)2(1.28)2(1.65)3:446.0
Level 402(1.04)2(1.22)2(1.54)3:356.0
Level 451(1.00)2(1.17)2(1.50)3:265.9
Level 501(0.91)2(1.14)2(1.46)3:205.8

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

  • Eternatus1.04

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

  • Eternatus1.04
  • Kyurem (Black)1.13
  • Kyurem (White)1.17
  • Baxcalibur1.30
  • Palkia (Origin)1.33
  • Rayquaza1.36

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

2 trainers at level 40

  • Regidrago1.46
  • Darkrai1.47
  • Kyurem1.49
  • Salamence1.53
  • Palkia1.52
  • Hydreigon1.53

The party these numbers assume

1. Eternatus
Dragon Tail + Dynamax Cannon
2. Kyurem (Black)
Dragon Tail + Freeze Shock
3. Kyurem (White)
Dragon Breath + Ice Burn
4. Baxcalibur
Dragon Breath + Glaive Rush
5. Palkia (Origin)
Dragon Breath + Spacial Rend
6. Rayquaza
Dragon Tail + Breaking Swipe

See the full ranked counter list for Giratina (Origin) · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.