Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Mega Gallade's top six counters needs 1.39 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 1.68 (round up: 2). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 6:27. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 25.

Mega Gallade · Mega

psychicfighting

Weak to

flyingghostfairy

Boss CP: 50,635
Boss HP: 9,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Mega Gallade at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	2(1.63)	3(2.22)	3(2.68)	10:20	6.0
Level 25	2(1.39)	2(1.76)	3(2.24)	8:11	6.0
Level 30	2(1.28)	2(1.55)	2(1.90)	7:11	5.9
Level 35	2(1.20)	2(1.46)	2(1.78)	6:47	5.9
Level 40	2(1.14)	2(1.39)	2(1.68)	6:27	5.8
Level 45	2(1.12)	2(1.35)	2(1.62)	6:17	5.8
Level 50	2(1.02)	2(1.29)	2(1.54)	6:00	5.8

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

Necrozma (Dawn Wings)1.14

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

Necrozma (Dawn Wings)1.14
Rayquaza1.29
Enamorus (Incarnate)1.37
Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.50
Enamorus (Therian)1.50
Moltres1.53

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

2 trainers at level 40

Toucannon1.65
Blacephalon1.57
Dragapult1.66
Chandelure1.69
Giratina (Origin)1.66
Gholdengo1.68

The party these numbers assume

1. Necrozma (Dawn Wings)

Psycho Cut + Moongeist Beam

2. Rayquaza

Air Slash + Dragon Ascent

3. Enamorus (Incarnate)

Fairy Wind + Fly

4. Zacian (Crowned Sword)

Metal Claw + Play Rough

5. Enamorus (Therian)

Fairy Wind + Fly

6. Moltres

Wing Attack + Fly

See the full ranked counter list for Mega Gallade · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.