Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 14,122
- Boss HP
- 15,000
- Raid timer
- 300s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 3(2.12) | 3(2.23) | 3(2.72) | 10:33 | 5.9 |
| Level 25 | 2(1.84) | 2(1.96) | 3(2.38) | 9:16 | 5.4 |
| Level 30 | 2(1.65) | 2(1.76) | 3(2.14) | 8:20 | 4.9 |
| Level 35 | 2(1.56) | 2(1.68) | 3(2.05) | 7:55 | 4.6 |
| Level 40 | 2(1.49) | 2(1.61) | 2(1.95) | 7:37 | 4.3 |
| Level 45 | 2(1.42) | 2(1.56) | 2(1.89) | 7:22 | 4.2 |
| Level 50 | 2(1.38) | 2(1.51) | 2(1.82) | 7:07 | 4.0 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
2 trainers at level 40
- Blacephalon1.49
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
2 trainers at level 40
- Blacephalon1.49
- Kyurem (White)1.55
- Rayquaza1.60
- Mewtwo1.62
- Kyurem (Black)1.69
- Reshiram1.72
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
2 trainers at level 40
- Enamorus (Incarnate)1.91
- Toucannon1.91
- Necrozma (Dawn Wings)1.92
- Volcarona1.93
- Cinderace1.94
- Darmanitan (Standard)1.94
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Foongus · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.