Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 6 to be safe — 4 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 51,664
- Boss HP
- 20,000
- Raid timer
- 300s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 5(4.50) | 6(5.41) | 8(7.66) | 24:54 | 6.0 |
| Level 25 | 4(3.82) | 5(4.75) | 7(6.43) | 21:51 | 6.0 |
| Level 30 | 4(3.44) | 5(4.17) | 6(5.79) | 19:12 | 6.0 |
| Level 35 | 4(3.34) | 4(3.99) | 6(5.52) | 18:21 | 5.8 |
| Level 40 | 4(3.08) | 4(3.76) | 6(5.27) | 17:18 | 5.8 |
| Level 45 | 3(2.97) | 4(3.66) | 6(5.11) | 16:52 | 5.8 |
| Level 50 | 3(2.86) | 4(3.54) | 5(4.80) | 16:16 | 5.7 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
4 trainers at level 40
- Zacian (Crowned Sword)3.08
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
4 trainers at level 40
- Zacian (Crowned Sword)3.08
- Necrozma (Dusk Mane)3.16
- Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)3.16
- Eternatus4.21
- Metagross4.34
- Necrozma (Dawn Wings)4.62
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
6 trainers at level 40
- Melmetal5.09
- Genesect5.17
- Genesect (Burn)5.17
- Genesect (Chill)5.17
- Genesect (Douse)5.17
- Genesect (Shock)5.17
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Florges · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.