Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 1 to be safe — 1 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 13,576
- Boss HP
- 4,000
- Raid timer
- 180s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 2(1.13) | 2(1.21) | 2(1.43) | 3:32 | 5.3 |
| Level 25 | 1(0.95) | 2(1.03) | 2(1.22) | 3:01 | 4.8 |
| Level 30 | 1(0.87) | 1(0.93) | 2(1.08) | 2:44 | 4.3 |
| Level 35 | 1(0.82) | 1(0.89) | 2(1.03) | 2:36 | 4.0 |
| Level 40 | 1(0.79) | 1(0.84) | 1(0.98) | 2:28 | 3.5 |
| Level 45 | 1(0.74) | 1(0.81) | 1(0.95) | 2:23 | 3.1 |
| Level 50 | 1(0.73) | 1(0.79) | 1(0.92) | 2:18 | 2.9 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
1 trainer at level 40
- Rayquaza0.79
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
1 trainer at level 40
- Rayquaza0.79
- Mewtwo0.78
- Enamorus (Incarnate)0.86
- Hoopa (Unbound)0.88
- Tapu Lele0.87
- Galarian Articuno0.88
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
1 trainer at level 40
- Toucannon0.93
- Lugia0.96
- Salamence0.96
- Eternatus0.97
- Lunala0.98
- Regigigas0.99
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Galarian Farfetch'd · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.