Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 3 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Ekans's top six counters needs 1.79 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 2.15 (round up: 3). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 8:14. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 30.

Ekans · Elite

poison

Weak to

groundpsychic

Boss CP: 18,708
Boss HP: 20,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Ekans at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	3(2.25)	3(2.46)	3(2.95)	11:20	5.3
Level 25	2(1.98)	3(2.18)	3(2.58)	10:03	4.9
Level 30	2(1.78)	2(1.95)	3(2.32)	8:59	4.4
Level 35	2(1.70)	2(1.87)	3(2.24)	8:36	4.2
Level 40	2(1.63)	2(1.79)	3(2.15)	8:14	4.0
Level 45	2(1.56)	2(1.73)	3(2.07)	7:57	3.7
Level 50	2(1.52)	2(1.68)	3(2.00)	7:43	3.6

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

Mewtwo1.63

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

Mewtwo1.63
Hoopa (Unbound)1.72
Landorus (Therian)1.76
Necrozma (Dusk Mane)1.81
Necrozma (Dawn Wings)1.83
Groudon1.98

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

3 trainers at level 40

Eternatus2.07
Excadrill2.08
Zacian (Crowned Sword)2.10
Azelf2.09
Metagross2.12
Mamoswine2.14

The party these numbers assume

1. Mewtwo

Confusion + Psystrike

2. Hoopa (Unbound)

Confusion + Psychic

3. Landorus (Therian)

Extrasensory + Sandsear Storm

4. Necrozma (Dusk Mane)

Psycho Cut + Sunsteel Strike

5. Necrozma (Dawn Wings)

Psycho Cut + Moongeist Beam

6. Groudon

Mud Shot + Precipice Blades

See the full ranked counter list for Ekans · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.