Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 16,553
- Boss HP
- 15,000
- Raid timer
- 300s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 2(1.46) | 2(1.73) | 3(2.07) | 7:58 | 5.9 |
| Level 25 | 2(1.30) | 2(1.52) | 2(1.84) | 7:01 | 5.9 |
| Level 30 | 2(1.16) | 2(1.35) | 2(1.65) | 6:13 | 5.7 |
| Level 35 | 2(1.11) | 2(1.29) | 2(1.57) | 5:56 | 5.5 |
| Level 40 | 2(1.04) | 2(1.23) | 2(1.51) | 5:40 | 5.3 |
| Level 45 | 2(1.02) | 2(1.18) | 2(1.46) | 5:26 | 5.2 |
| Level 50 | 1(0.99) | 2(1.15) | 2(1.41) | 5:17 | 5.1 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
2 trainers at level 40
- Keldeo1.04
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
2 trainers at level 40
- Keldeo1.04
- Lucario1.18
- Terrakion1.23
- Blaziken1.28
- Kartana1.31
- Pheromosa1.34
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
2 trainers at level 40
- Gallade1.46
- Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.46
- Necrozma (Dusk Mane)1.48
- Mewtwo1.50
- Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)1.50
- Machamp1.50
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Eevee · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.