Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 40,014
- Boss HP
- 9,000
- Raid timer
- 300s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 2(1.61) | 2(1.78) | 3(2.37) | 8:16 | 5.8 |
| Level 25 | 2(1.34) | 2(1.55) | 2(1.99) | 7:12 | 5.6 |
| Level 30 | 2(1.23) | 2(1.37) | 2(1.76) | 6:22 | 5.5 |
| Level 35 | 2(1.16) | 2(1.31) | 2(1.67) | 6:07 | 5.4 |
| Level 40 | 2(1.09) | 2(1.26) | 2(1.58) | 5:50 | 5.4 |
| Level 45 | 2(1.05) | 2(1.23) | 2(1.53) | 5:42 | 5.3 |
| Level 50 | 2(1.01) | 2(1.17) | 2(1.47) | 5:27 | 5.3 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
2 trainers at level 40
- Landorus (Therian)1.09
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
2 trainers at level 40
- Landorus (Therian)1.09
- Eternatus1.22
- Groudon1.23
- Garchomp1.34
- Kyurem (Black)1.33
- Mamoswine1.33
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
2 trainers at level 40
- Keldeo1.46
- Krookodile1.51
- Rhydon1.52
- Golurk1.58
- Ursaluna1.58
- Baxcalibur1.60
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Mega Eelektross · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.