Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 4 to be safe — 3 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 41,023
- Boss HP
- 20,000
- Raid timer
- 300s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 4(3.42) | 4(3.82) | 5(4.74) | 17:34 | 6.0 |
| Level 25 | 3(2.74) | 4(3.11) | 4(3.92) | 14:20 | 6.0 |
| Level 30 | 3(2.44) | 3(2.74) | 4(3.46) | 12:37 | 6.0 |
| Level 35 | 3(2.31) | 3(2.60) | 4(3.26) | 11:59 | 6.0 |
| Level 40 | 3(2.19) | 3(2.44) | 4(3.10) | 11:13 | 6.0 |
| Level 45 | 3(2.13) | 3(2.36) | 3(2.98) | 10:51 | 6.0 |
| Level 50 | 3(2.05) | 3(2.27) | 3(2.89) | 10:26 | 6.0 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
3 trainers at level 40
- Kyurem (White)2.19
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
3 trainers at level 40
- Kyurem (White)2.19
- Regieleki2.38
- Kyurem (Black)2.41
- Thundurus (Therian)2.54
- Zeraora2.54
- Zekrom2.56
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
4 trainers at level 40
- Zacian (Crowned Sword)2.95
- Glimmora3.01
- Necrozma (Dusk Mane)3.00
- Zapdos3.03
- Magnezone3.06
- Baxcalibur3.09
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Dodrio · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.