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PoGoBud
Raid Hour · YveltalNext · 1d 0h

Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Invite 1 to be safe — 1 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Dewgong's top six counters needs 0.08 trainers (round up: 1), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 0.10 (round up: 1). The raid timer is 180 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 0:15. A prepared solo becomes possible at level 20. A duo works from level 20.
Dewgong · Tier 1
waterice
Weak to
fightingrockgrasselectric
Boss CP
5,226
Boss HP
600
Raid timer
180s
Party used
6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Dewgong at each attacker level
Attacker levelSix of the best counterA prepared partyA mixed local groupPrepared solo timeFaints per timer
Level 201(0.11)1(0.11)1(0.14)0:200.1
Level 251(0.11)1(0.11)1(0.13)0:190.0
Level 301(0.08)1(0.10)1(0.11)0:170.0
Level 351(0.08)1(0.09)1(0.10)0:160.0
Level 401(0.07)1(0.08)1(0.10)0:150.0
Level 451(0.07)1(0.08)1(0.10)0:150.0
Level 501(0.07)1(0.08)1(0.10)0:140.0

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

1 trainer at level 40

  • Keldeo0.07

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

1 trainer at level 40

  • Keldeo0.07
  • Lucario0.08
  • Kartana0.08
  • Zeraora0.08
  • Xurkitree0.09
  • Blaziken0.09

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

1 trainer at level 40

  • Deoxys0.09
  • Electivire0.10
  • Rillaboom0.10
  • Zekrom0.10
  • Thundurus (Therian)0.10
  • Hisuian Decidueye0.10

The party these numbers assume

1. Keldeo
Low Kick + Secret Sword
2. Lucario
Force Palm + Aura Sphere
3. Kartana
Razor Leaf + Leaf Blade
4. Zeraora
Spark + Plasma Fists
5. Xurkitree
Spark + Discharge
6. Blaziken
Counter + Aura Sphere

See the full ranked counter list for Dewgong · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.