Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Delibird's top six counters needs 1.31 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 1.64 (round up: 2). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 6:11. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 20.

Delibird · Shadow Tier 5

iceflying

Weak to

rocksteelfireelectric

Boss CP: 17,946
Boss HP: 15,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Delibird at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	2(1.78)	2(1.84)	3(2.32)	8:41	6.0
Level 25	2(1.52)	2(1.59)	3(2.01)	7:31	5.6
Level 30	2(1.37)	2(1.43)	2(1.80)	6:45	5.1
Level 35	2(1.30)	2(1.36)	2(1.72)	6:26	5.0
Level 40	2(1.25)	2(1.31)	2(1.64)	6:11	4.8
Level 45	2(1.20)	2(1.26)	2(1.58)	5:57	4.6
Level 50	2(1.15)	2(1.22)	2(1.53)	5:45	4.5

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

Rampardos1.25

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

Rampardos1.25
Glimmora1.26
Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.29
Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)1.33
Necrozma (Dusk Mane)1.36
Gigalith1.37

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

2 trainers at level 40

Aggron1.56
Stonjourner1.57
Lycanroc (Dusk)1.59
Lycanroc (Midday)1.62
Aerodactyl1.63
Regieleki1.63

The party these numbers assume

1. Rampardos

Smack Down + Rock Slide

2. Glimmora

Rock Throw + Meteor Beam

3. Zacian (Crowned Sword)

Metal Claw + Behemoth Blade

4. Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)

Metal Claw + Behemoth Bash

5. Necrozma (Dusk Mane)

Metal Claw + Sunsteel Strike

6. Gigalith

Lock-On + Meteor Beam

See the full ranked counter list for Delibird · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.