Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 2 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Cradily's top six counters needs 1.15 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 1.61 (round up: 2). The raid timer is 180 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 3:22. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 20.

Cradily · Shadow Tier 3

rockgrass

Weak to

fightingbugsteelice

Boss CP: 15,269
Boss HP: 4,000
Raid timer: 180s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Cradily at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	2(1.47)	2(1.60)	3(2.28)	4:41	5.4
Level 25	2(1.27)	2(1.40)	2(1.96)	4:06	4.9
Level 30	2(1.11)	2(1.26)	2(1.75)	3:41	4.3
Level 35	2(1.07)	2(1.21)	2(1.67)	3:32	4.1
Level 40	2(1.05)	2(1.15)	2(1.61)	3:22	3.9
Level 45	2(1.01)	2(1.12)	2(1.56)	3:16	3.6
Level 50	1(0.92)	2(1.06)	2(1.50)	3:07	3.3

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.05

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.05
Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)1.04
Necrozma (Dusk Mane)1.09
Keldeo1.18
Kyurem (White)1.24
Kartana1.29

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

2 trainers at level 40

Pheromosa1.54
Eternatus1.56
Urshifu (Rapid Strike)1.56
Urshifu (Single Strike)1.57
Dialga (Origin)1.59
Gallade1.61

The party these numbers assume

1. Zacian (Crowned Sword)

Metal Claw + Behemoth Blade

2. Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)

Metal Claw + Behemoth Bash

3. Necrozma (Dusk Mane)

Metal Claw + Sunsteel Strike

4. Keldeo

Low Kick + Secret Sword

5. Kyurem (White)

Ice Fang + Ice Burn

6. Kartana

Fury Cutter + Sacred Sword

See the full ranked counter list for Cradily · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.