Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Raid bossTierIVsWeatherFriendshipDodgingShadow attackersMega attackersLegendary attackers

Invite 3 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Cradily's top six counters needs 1.64 trainers (round up: 2), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 2.33 (round up: 3). The raid timer is 300 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 7:33. No level in this range makes it soloable with a prepared party. A duo works from level 30.

Cradily · Tier 5

rockgrass

Weak to

fightingbugsteelice

Boss CP: 29,568
Boss HP: 15,000
Raid timer: 300s
Party used: 6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Cradily at each attacker level
Attacker level	Six of the best counter	A prepared party	A mixed local group	Prepared solo time	Faints per timer
Level 20	3(2.06)	3(2.31)	4(3.28)	10:38	5.9
Level 25	2(1.78)	3(2.01)	3(2.89)	9:15	5.8
Level 30	2(1.67)	2(1.83)	3(2.52)	8:26	5.6
Level 35	2(1.55)	2(1.71)	3(2.41)	7:53	5.3
Level 40	2(1.49)	2(1.64)	3(2.33)	7:33	5.1
Level 45	2(1.46)	2(1.60)	3(2.22)	7:22	5.0
Level 50	2(1.37)	2(1.54)	3(2.13)	7:06	4.8

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

2 trainers at level 40

Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.49

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

2 trainers at level 40

Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.49
Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)1.50
Necrozma (Dusk Mane)1.51
Keldeo1.70
Kyurem (White)1.73
Lucario1.90

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

3 trainers at level 40

Urshifu (Rapid Strike)2.24
Necrozma (Dawn Wings)2.27
Pheromosa2.24
Conkeldurr2.27
Tinkaton2.32
Eternatus2.30

The party these numbers assume

1. Zacian (Crowned Sword)

Metal Claw + Behemoth Blade

2. Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)

Metal Claw + Behemoth Bash

3. Necrozma (Dusk Mane)

Metal Claw + Sunsteel Strike

4. Keldeo

Low Kick + Secret Sword

5. Kyurem (White)

Ice Fang + Ice Burn

6. Lucario

Force Palm + Aura Sphere

See the full ranked counter list for Cradily · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.