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PoGoBud

Group size estimator

How many trainers do I need to invite?

The Estimator is already "trainers of this attacker needed to finish inside the timer", so this page does not invent a number: it reads it off the boss's own ranked counter list for three realistic parties and re-simulates each of them at every level from 20 to 50.

Invite 1 to be safe — 1 if everyone is prepared

At level 40, a party of Corphish's top six counters needs 0.37 trainers (round up: 1), and a mixed lobby of ranks 13-24 needs 0.46 (round up: 1). The raid timer is 180 seconds and one prepared trainer alone would take 1:05. A prepared solo becomes possible at level 20. A duo works from level 20.
Corphish · Tier 3
water
Weak to
grasselectric
Boss CP
9,993
Boss HP
3,600
Raid timer
180s
Party used
6

Trainers needed, by attacker level

Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.

Trainers needed to beat Corphish at each attacker level
Attacker levelSix of the best counterA prepared partyA mixed local groupPrepared solo timeFaints per timer
Level 201(0.53)1(0.52)1(0.62)1:312.7
Level 251(0.45)1(0.45)1(0.55)1:191.8
Level 301(0.35)1(0.40)1(0.50)1:111.3
Level 351(0.35)1(0.39)1(0.48)1:081.0
Level 401(0.36)1(0.37)1(0.46)1:050.8
Level 451(0.36)1(0.36)1(0.45)1:030.7
Level 501(0.33)1(0.35)1(0.43)1:010.6

Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.

Six of the best counter

Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.

1 trainer at level 40

  • Regieleki0.36

A prepared party

Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.

1 trainer at level 40

  • Regieleki0.36
  • Zeraora0.36
  • Thundurus (Therian)0.36
  • Kartana0.37
  • Xurkitree0.38
  • Zekrom0.39

A mixed local group

Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.

1 trainer at level 40

  • Raikou0.44
  • Meowscarada0.45
  • Deoxys0.45
  • Magnezone0.45
  • Decidueye0.46
  • Tapu Bulu0.46

The party these numbers assume

1. Regieleki
Lock-On + Thunder Cage
2. Zeraora
Volt Switch + Plasma Fists
3. Thundurus (Therian)
Volt Switch + Wildbolt Storm
4. Kartana
Razor Leaf + Leaf Blade
5. Xurkitree
Thunder Shock + Discharge
6. Zekrom
Charge Beam + Fusion Bolt

See the full ranked counter list for Corphish · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six

How this is worked out

The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.