Group size estimator
How many trainers do I need to invite?
Invite 3 to be safe — 2 if everyone is prepared
- Boss CP
- 33,433
- Boss HP
- 15,000
- Raid timer
- 300s
- Party used
- 6
Trainers needed, by attacker level
Scroll sideways for the mixed-lobby column.
| Attacker level | Six of the best counter | A prepared party | A mixed local group | Prepared solo time | Faints per timer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Level 20 | 3(2.22) | 3(2.75) | 4(3.68) | 12:39 | 5.9 |
| Level 25 | 2(1.93) | 3(2.39) | 4(3.32) | 11:01 | 5.7 |
| Level 30 | 2(1.72) | 3(2.17) | 3(2.94) | 9:59 | 5.2 |
| Level 35 | 2(1.69) | 3(2.08) | 3(2.82) | 9:35 | 5.0 |
| Level 40 | 2(1.63) | 2(1.99) | 3(2.73) | 9:09 | 4.8 |
| Level 45 | 2(1.58) | 2(1.94) | 3(2.65) | 8:54 | 4.5 |
| Level 50 | 2(1.50) | 2(1.85) | 3(2.52) | 8:32 | 4.2 |
Whole trainers in bold, the raw estimator in brackets — 2.04 means two trainers is right on the line and three is comfortable.
Six of the best counter
Every trainer brings six copies of the single best counter — the theoretical floor.
2 trainers at level 40
- Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.63
A prepared party
Each trainer brings the boss's top six counters, powered up and correctly TM'd.
2 trainers at level 40
- Zacian (Crowned Sword)1.63
- Necrozma (Dusk Mane)1.66
- Zamazenta (Crowned Shield)1.68
- Eternatus2.27
- Metagross2.31
- Necrozma (Dawn Wings)2.39
A mixed local group
Ranks 13-24: reasonable but unoptimised parties, which is what a public lobby usually is.
3 trainers at level 40
- Roserade2.59
- Tinkaton2.59
- Genesect2.68
- Genesect (Burn)2.68
- Genesect (Chill)2.68
- Genesect (Douse)2.68
The party these numbers assume
See the full ranked counter list for Comfey · check a real lobby (win chance, who brings what) · make a share card of the top six
How this is worked out
The boss is ranked once at level 40 with rankCached (the same memoised call /raids makes), then the three bands — rank 1, ranks 1-6, ranks 13-24 — are re-simulated at each attacker level with an 8-run Monte Carlo each. Holding the party fixed and moving only its level is deliberate: it answers "what if my party were level 20" rather than "what would a level-20 player's completely different party be", and it is about ten times cheaper than re-ranking every attacker seven times. The Estimator itself is Pokebattler's definition, time to win including rejoin time divided by the raid timer.